A couple of years ago, Paul Caron flagged an obscure ABA rule change
that required law schools to report the highest LSAT score of an
admitted student versus the prior practice of averaging. Paul and
Moneylaw blogger Tom Bell
foresaw a likely surge in the number of repeat test-takers--but without any appreciable benefit. Repeat score are, in fact, less accurate in predicting
law school grades -- though, let's not kid ourselves, law schools are
not looking at the LSAT anymore for predicting 1L performance. It also
costs a lot of time and money. And if upper class white kids are
better able to afford test preparation courses, it is likely to
exacerbate the racial performance gap.
Well, the data is in for the October 2008 cycle. It is indisputable
that applicants are figuring out the implications of a low LSAT score
in the US rankings era (fewer admissions letters, few scholarship
dollars) and the potential upside/no downside of taking the exam again.
Despite a -1.7% drop in first-time takers, the repeater volume is up
16.8%. In the Northeast, where the positional competition is the most
intense, there has been a staggering 33.7% increase.
From an individual perspective, I know it makes sense to take the
test a second or third time. Indeed, it is comforting to many to have
that option. But in the aggregate, this policy really just opens the
door for a protracted zero sum game. If law schools were making better
decisions because of the second or third scores, the additional time
and expense could be justified. The second scores, however, are less
reliable than the first and second combined.
Understanding these dynamics, the regulator (the ABA Section on
Legal Education and Admission to the Bar) is supposed to set rules that
are in the best interests of the students and the profession -- not law
schools or testing agencies. Sam Stonefield of Western New England Law wrote a very detailed objection to this policy. He was prescient. I appreciate the time he took to spell it all out.
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