In its 2022 Bruen decision, the Court ruled (6-3) that a New York law requiring that applicants “show cause” in their conceal carry firearm license applications unconstitutionally infringed on Second Amendment protections.
Since the Bruen decision, a stream of additional lawsuits challenging various other state and federal firearm regulations has been decided. Assessing these post- Bruen court decisions may hold some clues about the Bruen decision’s impact on the Second Amendment landscape.
To this end, in One Year Post-Bruen: An Empirical Assessment, Eric Ruben (SMU) et al., analyze more than 450 claims, flowing from 326 cases, decided after Bruen. The authors note that the pace (and volume) of litigation dramatically increased after Bruen as well as the lawsuits’ efficacy. The authors also observe that Bruen’s analytic framework “has not meaningfully constrained judges.” The paper’s abstract follows.
"In the year after New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, a steady stream of highly publicized opinions struck down a wide range of previously upheld gun restrictions. Courts declared unconstitutional policies ranging from assault weapon bans to domestic abuser prohibitions to various limits on publicly carrying handguns. Those opinions can frequently be paired with others reaching the opposite conclusion. The extent to which Bruen shook up the Second Amendment landscape and has caused widespread confusion in the courts is starting to come into focus.
This Article measures Bruen’s after effects by statistically analyzing a year’s worth of Second Amendment opinions. We coded more than 450 challenges for dozens of variables including both case and judge characteristics, resulting in a comprehensive post-Bruen Second Amendment dataset. The findings of our analysis provide an objective basis for assessing the upheaval wrought by Bruen and highlight both unanswered questions and immense challenges for Second Amendment doctrine in the coming years."
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